Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.174574 0.199953 0.228634 0.263624 0.305401 0.353982 0.415185
2025-07-20 0.137638 0.171302 0.213500 0.271084 0.348882 0.452216 0.603097
2025-07-27 0.115097 0.152138 0.202258 0.276769 0.387831 0.552545 0.826053
2025-08-03 0.100577 0.139400 0.195238 0.284305 0.428589 0.664325 1.104793
2025-08-10 0.088805 0.127862 0.186897 0.286742 0.460406 0.769405 1.412741
2025-08-17 0.079430 0.118093 0.179053 0.287523 0.488476 0.874956 1.766383
2025-08-24 0.071491 0.109239 0.170958 0.285773 0.510807 0.975562 2.156864
2025-08-31 0.064543 0.100969 0.162430 0.281321 0.526389 1.066624 2.571915
2025-09-07 0.060446 0.096874 0.160374 0.288348 0.566735 1.225768 3.263133
2025-09-14 0.055243 0.090216 0.152757 0.282970 0.578808 1.321563 3.830449
2025-09-21 0.051742 0.086155 0.149345 0.285484 0.609448 1.476535 4.711928
2025-09-28 0.048044 0.081324 0.143828 0.282515 0.626177 1.600002 5.582935
2025-10-05 0.045587 0.078605 0.142218 0.288194 0.667306 1.816643 7.077133
2025-10-12 0.043419 0.076213 0.140981 0.294602 0.712706 2.070751 9.075531
2025-10-19 0.041396 0.073891 0.139582 0.300394 0.758405 2.351402 11.648648
2025-10-26 0.039756 0.072150 0.139185 0.308592 0.814057 2.702770 15.322925
2025-11-02 0.037828 0.069635 0.136787 0.311252 0.853612 3.015645 19.428869
2025-11-09 0.035945 0.067035 0.133893 0.312106 0.887891 3.330151 24.398633
2025-11-16 0.034043 0.064223 0.130200 0.310169 0.912381 3.618246 30.035522
2025-11-23 0.032117 0.061202 0.125702 0.305247 0.925082 3.859361 36.051432
2025-11-30 0.031118 0.060096 0.125604 0.313015 0.988166 4.425578 49.149603
2025-12-07 0.029411 0.057296 0.121128 0.307069 0.996234 4.683144 58.864627
2025-12-14 0.028308 0.055756 0.119589 0.309849 1.041259 5.216512 77.740566